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To be totally honest, its not the least bit justifiable in any light. Both Story and Baez are much better players. I also think thats one reason Freeman was so guilt-ridden, or whatever, about not returning when he had the chance. Yum, yum, peach juice flowing, baby. Many thanks to him. My bad for expecting anything you say to make sense. Prior to his walk year, he had an 8.8 career bWAR, or 2.1/650 PAs. For the fans sake, I hope ownership realizes the value of spending some money and they re-sign Swanson. For fans of baseballtradevalues.com, dont be surprised if he has negative $30M in value by 2025 when he has TJ surgery, misses a year and hes not quite as successful during his third or fourth pass through the league. Braves fans are setup extremely well. Considering Burnes won a Cy Young and has had a microscopic ERA for three straight seasons with a career FIP of 2.85, thats probably the 85 percentile of Strider reaching his potential, IF you buy into one season of work and think hes a generational pitcher. Now lets say you call Ticketmaster and they tell you that you will get one of the four tickets, but you dont know which one until you get to the ball game. If hes just a flash in the pan, this contract will hurt the Braves badly from 2026 to 2028. He played college baseball for the Clemson Tigers, and was drafted by the Atlanta Braves in the fourth round of the 2020 Major League Baseball Draft. It would definitely be an anomaly if the Braves hit on all this extensions. Finally, the greater likelihood is that he probably wont be good enough to outplay what he was given because it was a dramatic overpay by a team that believes pitching will see a steep uptick in annual salary and their stupid contract with Strider is a self-fulfilling prophecy that will probably move the needle 10% across baseball due to this stupid deal. Theres another alternative of simply waiting an extra year or two to have a much better grasp on whether these young stars are for real before extending them (as well as not handing out massive overpays for their arbitration years). The volatility is too high. $16M (2026) Drafting and developing pitchers is a crap shoot no doubt and Atlanta has had their failures along the way. Now ya have your CF 1b 2b 3b rf and strider all signed to under market value contracts and still have money to sign swanson and dip into free agent pool. If he spent the whole season on the major league roster he is definitely NOT a Super Two. Is MLB ok with them now? It will probably cost them another 10 million a year to keep him now if Uncle Steve or the Dodgers dont jump into the bidding and steal him away from the NYY. 4th year $30+ MM Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? He is getting more then 3 years. Their window didnt change with this signing. $25M (2028 Option), If he blew the lid off previous seasons with year-to-year, it would be like, $1M (2023) The remaining $20-25M will be shared with the rest of the guys who arent arb. I was down there for that last Mets series and all I heard was silence from the Mets fan base Sunday night. Phillies are in the WS. Armed with a four-seam fastball averaging 98.5 MPH and a slider sporting a 42.9% whiff rate, Strider possesses exciting fantasy upside with his ability to miss bats and sport a low WHIP and ERA . Or theyre being proactive to keep future payroll in check and balanced out so they dont get caught with uncertain arbitration costs in the future. Sure, but then what if in those 2 years he continues putting up league-high K-rates, gets Cy votes (or wins), AS selections that increases his value exponentially, if he even wants to extend at that point. If you wait a year or two and he continues to pitch well, then his pricetag doubles. The rotation is so strong that 39-year-old Morton, who re-signed for one year and $20 million, could possibly. Love to see it for the player, team and the fan base. They also made a couple great trades getting future star players that wear near MLB ready (Dansby/Fried). Strong post NashvilleJ: thanks for mentioning the agent relationship angle. Just a cup of coffee at the ML level. I absolutely love the Strider extension. Thats stupid-economics! Riley had two seasons under his belt, Olson five seasons and the Acuna and Ozzie contracts are both highway robbery for the Braves. You take risks to lock down his first 2 years of FA. This line in the Braves press release is why you dont wait: Strider became the first player in major league history to strike out over 200 with fewer than 100 hits allowed.. Braves need to sign Fried. They paid $75 million for $102 million worth of his services based on your numbers. Only if its a Top-2 mustache, and it is. Spencer Strider is currently the starting pitcher position for the Atlanta Braves in Major League Baseball, the senior baseball league of the United States. Jurrjens was a Tiger in his rookie season and put up a 3.68 ERA while striking out just 6.6 per 9 in his first season with the Braves. Just cause they run this site doesnt mean they have some secret gift to know where players will sign and I never had a doubt he was headed there, since he was a Pirate. Saying that strider pitched last year too as the focal point of your comparison is disingenuous. The Marlins are one new owner away from being elite. Swansons on the up. Luckily for . They control his first two FA years for somewhere in the range of $40-50MM total, depending how aggressively you want to project his arb numbers and only one of the two years is even guaranteed. Theres some degree of risk for the Braves in laying out such lengthy commitments, even if each looks quite team friendly in a vacuum. A.J. Cant believe that AA lets him leave. The Atlanta Braves announced they agreed to terms with rookie sensation Spencer Strider on a 6-year deal worth $75 million on Monday morning. I think there is some advantage, that doesnt show up on the balance sheet, when you lock in your young players. Wrong bonuses are aside from the yearly contracts and have nothing to do with arbitration contracts either in setting the floor or adding to the annual amount. I believe 2027 is the final year of that infamous TV deal that hasnt been the cash cow many other lesser franchises have benefitted from. It is for someone that age. They played their home games at Truist Park (Park Factors: 114/116) where 3,129,931 fans witnessed their 2022 Braves finish the season with a .623 winning percentage. He touched 101 early in the outing. Nonetheless, as weve seen with young position players in recent years, the market for these types of extensions can still advance rapidly. Braves: Spencer Strider offers plenty of blame for rough weekend vs Mets. Not to mention at that point, many of the players might even decide to wait out until free agency and refuse any potentially team friendly deals. Spencer Strider made his Major League Baseball debut in 2020 with the Mississippi Braves, the Gwinnett Stripers, the Augusta GreenJackets, and the Rome Braves. Jared Shuster, LHP 4. Strider retired all three batters he faced Wednesday while throwing his first simulated game of spring training, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. Now if the Braves had Kris Bryanted Strider he would have finished 2024 with just under 3 years of service time and would have been a Super Two that offseason, not the 23-24 offseason. This is going to be the Kevin Brown deal that literally changed the market in a day. Playoff team extra year. Factor in the Braves are assuming all of the risk hell continue to pitch at an elite level for 5 straight years to top it off, which is no guarantee. The only way this deal makes sense is if he becomes an inner-circle Hall-of-Fame pitcher who is the greatest pitcher of our generation. Spencer Strider has a net worth of $1,167,934. Similar thing happened last year when LAD needed to replace Corey Seagers offense by sliding Muncy over and signing Freeman at half the price. Data Provided By Injuries are 75% covered by insurance I mean I wouldnt even extend a player if they are going to get 85% or more of their contract by going year to year. Cano signed with Seattle, the Mets were just dumb enough to trade for him. Hes top ten talent. Estimate 2023 Retained Salaries Leftover salaries from players who have been traded or released, or buyouts for declined options. Luis Guanipa, OF 12. Spencer Strider: . pic . Albies was banged up this year but his $35M contract was earned in basically a year and a half. Spencer Strider made last year. There is nothing historically to say that even if they were absurdly expensive compared to other pitchers that it would even match what he was promised. Spencer Strider salary is $0 per year, including a $0 signing bonus. Two east coast teams in ATL/PHI with two west coast teams in LAD/SD pretty much guarantees youre going to go in this order. Beginning in '26, his salary will rise to $20 million, and it will rise to $22 million for the next two seasons. His love of the New York night life and illegal substances didnt help his career along either. Getting to 94 is almost 7 mph slower than his typical top fastball. If he continues to play as h did in his rookie season, he would absolutely be at the top of the scale. View a free real draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 12 teams in a STD format. He will receive an extra year of service time for that. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 3.7 3.7 W 11 12 L 5 5 ERA 2.67 2.69 G 31 33 GS 20 20 SV 0 0 IP 131.2 134.0 SO 202 202 WHIP 0.995 1.000 Scherzer isnt aging crap but it was one bad Wild Card game plus losing that pivotal start vs. ATL (he gave up 6 HR in his final 2 starts (inc. WC game) when he gave up only 13 HR all reg season). Thats hilarious. This is their first long-term contract extension with a young pitcher. Hes the steady eddie kind of player that gets under valued by fans. Login Here. I expect to see him elsewhere next year. Every FA in Swansons class is going to be more expensive than he will. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Before his MLB career, he was a member of the Augusta GreenJackets, Rome Braves, Mississippi Braves, and Gwinnett Stripers. If Swanson signs a $110-115MM extension, hes probably leaving at least $40MM on the table. His service time was at 2 years and 49 days and he did not qualify for Super 2. Click For Complete Top Prospect List for 2023 1. As of January 2022, 23% of starting pitchers in MLB and 26% of all pitchers have had TJ surgery. These guys are used to winning together, and I would expect that to continue. View a free mock draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 4 teams in a STD format. I didnt know what he meant. Yes a 2.67 ERA is better then a 2.27 ERA. 2026: $14-15M $14M (2026) One thing is certain: he divides his time between the four MLB teams Spencer Strider- Birth, Age, Ethnicity, Siblings, Education But for every Newcomb, Folty, Wisler,and Touki that theyve missed on I think theyre happy to trade that off with Fried, Wright, Minter, and to a lesser extent Anderson and Elder. As in a guy that says no to everything that people tell them. Go Braves! the Braves just paid $35 mil for 1 free agent year of Strider That means his annual salary isnt even going to be justifiable when factoring in the cost of living! Good grief. Agree MFF. You also dont know whether he took the extension in order to lock up significant money, as a hedge against injury, or because he and his agent wanted to advance pitcher salaries for others. Long-term extensions do not preclude a player from getting those bonus pool dollars pre-arbitration. @Pads Fans Him being on the roster all year actually means he WONT be a Super Two. There are so many reasons this could go bad and we arent even talking about the new pitch clock, the pickoff throw rules, and other changes to the game itself. The lot of before money is hopeful at best. Freeman even took Seagers #5 jerseytoo easy. He earned his initial schooling at the Christian Academy of Knoxville in Knoxville, Tennessee. Worst case scenario is he becomes Matt Harvey. the Commanders released Wentz in a cost-cutting measure that will save Washington $26.17 million against the 2023 salary cap. I used Harvey as a buyer beware caution notice. Spencer Strider was born in Columbus, OH. In 2023, Strider will earn a base salary of $1,000,000, while carrying a total salary of $1,000,000. Half these contracts wont work out. Going to be stunned if AA downgrades at SS w/their current competitive excellence at all other positions except left field. I think thats not quite that straightforward. 6/120 is light, based on his defensive floor. For someone like me who can only watch my team on national broadcasts due to the unavailability of my teams cable channel at a decent price, getting to watch them on TV (instead of settling for the radio like usual) a few extra times a season thanks to the Apple deal is great. Youd think some of these young Braves players would want to bet on themselves by waiting a few years. if they waited another year or two like you say, none of this would be possible with the Braves payroll. Thats conjecture, you stating what his arb years would or wouldnt be considering the volatility of pitchers, players with less than two years of major league experience, players with less than 150 major league innings, and who have barely seen each team once, when pitching has the advantage over hitting when neither has faced each other. the Mets won the same number of games the Braves did1and Strider got lit up in the only big game he ever pitched inDid he have a good season, yes. Comedic relief regularly inserted by some sneaky good commenters. Genuinely curious. Let's check, How Rich is Efra, Duane Theiss estimated Net Worth, Biography, Age, Height, Dating, Relationship Records, Salary, Income, Cars, Lifestyles & many more details have been updated below. Swanson has not been nearly as good as Baez was prior to signing with the Tigers. . You didnt just say Strider was better then Degrom and Bauer. He is definitely a Super Two candidate. But Swanson is not nearly as good as those guys. Owen Murphy, RHP 2. But if we are anywhere near the same cutoff after next season that we were after 2021, Strider will miss Super 2 status by 110 days roughly or almost 4 months of being on the roster. The lowest the cutoff has been since 2009 is 2.115. Braves put RHP Strider on IL with oblique strain, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays' Guerrero to miss WBC with inflamed knee, Rangers, LHP Smith agree to 1-year, $1.5M deal, 7 Cubs combine for 1st spring no-no since 2017, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays. Meanwhile Cohen will spend even more and have a $400 mil opening day payroll lol. Strider will qualify for Super Two. If Strider happens to need TJS along the way then this deal would end up being upside down for Atlanta. Take Ohtanis arb for an example, $30MM for next season. Same is true for Strider, this deal doesnt include or exclude those pre-arb bonuses. Over the next 6 years youd probably end up paying him $40m anyway, making the cost of your gamble roughly $40m, since presumably youre paying the buy out in 2029. A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. Then blew it against the Braves and then against the Pads. If the right billionaire acquired them and they signed say Judge, Trea and Arenado, this would be one truly awesome team and their payroll would still be less than several other teams. Darius Vines, RHP 5. Even if you assume he will get less than Soto for whatever reason, then $7+mm, $14+mm, $22+mm, and $30+mm is extremely reasonable. Vons king of the hill when it comes to Phils fans on here. That will fall far short of the top 22 percent. Its just the law of averages. They were 6.5 games ahead of the Braves on August 7. Thats not to say every pitcher with between one and four years of service time will now require $75MM+ to sign an extension, of course; Striders case as a Rookie of the Year frontrunner and budding ace is far from the norm.